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我先回答少帅的第二个问题,见内——

晓炎 2025-11-08 21:12:47 ( reads)
2. 估值来讲,像传统的 datacenter REIT DLR 估值在 P/FFO 20出头, SMCI / DELL PE都在 20 以下。 IREN Q1 季报中 说 “Adjusted EBITDA was $92 million, 对于一个 32 Billion 的公司来讲,margin of  safely is low.
 
My analysis: 
a) DLR valuation at P/FFO around 20--- assuming this is alright
b) SMCI/DELL PE --- it could be higher, but assuming it's ok
c) Adjusted EBITDA $92mil/quarter --- correct
d) Market cap --- $32B, here is the discrepancy! I found it’s actually $20B instead
e) Total debt--- $960mil (est.)
f) Cash & Equivalents-- $1B (est.)
g) EV = d)+e)-f) = ~$19B
 
Hence, DRL SMCI/DELL = EV/EBITDA = ~ 20 , and the margin of safety for IREN should be fairly decent, don’t you think? :)

跟帖(2)

薄利多收

2025-11-08 21:23:26

market cap 是你对我错了。不过

晓炎

2025-11-08 21:28:07

True, 92mil is per quarter, has to be 4 times, my bad...