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三心三意 2025-12-15 09:56:26 ( reads)

I am expecting SPX to hit 6700 +/- (6650 to 6750) in coming days. If index can hold this line, we should expect a rally into santa claus holidays.

QQQ already lost its 50D moving average briefly today, so it may overshoot a bit on the downside. But as long as SPX holds the line above, we should be ok.

Failing below that area opens the door for some significant correction upcoming.

跟帖(63)

olive2025

2025-12-15 10:39:49

TSLA 在这个调整中可能会去哪里?

三心三意

2025-12-15 10:50:36

Dont care, it will touch 600 eventually :)

olive2025

2025-12-15 10:51:41

Cool! Looking forward to it :)

三心三意

2025-12-15 10:56:37

投资把眼光放远。 特斯拉的积累时间是前几个月,不是现在。 现在是找其他龙头股的进场加仓机会

晓炎

2025-12-15 10:59:20

can't agree more

越挫越勇2

2025-12-15 11:02:48

明白。现在龙头股除了AMZN,NVDA -- 还有什么可以加吗?

三心三意

2025-12-15 11:17:13

My shopping list...

三心三意

2025-12-15 11:18:06

Most of them are my holdings already. NFLX/COST are new

越挫越勇2

2025-12-15 11:30:46

Thank you. I will do NVDA, COST. Need to diversify ...

三心三意

2025-12-15 11:33:36

Most important is wait and be sure market still in uptrend

越挫越勇2

2025-12-15 11:43:41

Yes, rather than catching the falling knife. :-) TY!!!!!

凡事因果

2025-12-15 14:37:50

我观他就是龙头股跌多了买~ margin of safety高些~

btcgo2026

2025-12-15 11:38:10

etha 20买入 orcl 180买入 你会现在卖

bogbog

2025-12-15 11:39:06

And Amazon…如果没满仓的话, 如果回调,我会考虑APPL Googl, Amazon , nflx, tsla

三心三意

2025-12-15 11:47:41

Yes, Google should be considered, agreed

三心三意

2025-12-15 11:50:38

I made mistake not recognizing Google's comeback

dancingpig

2025-12-15 12:43:50

哈,年中的时候推荐Hassabis到Fridman的podcast, 你口头说会去听,结果肯定是没听 :)

三心三意

2025-12-15 12:52:27

我听了,但听了一半睡着了:)

桃花源里人家

2025-12-15 12:58:09

其实谷歌前半年时候慢慢可以看出扭转局面了

bogbog

2025-12-15 14:34:59

是的。

aloevera

2025-12-15 11:52:29

I am waiting for NFLX and GOOGL.

bogbog

2025-12-15 12:11:57

如果TSLA能调到390-400, 其实不错,long term wise

bogbog

2025-12-15 12:14:49

如果您用现有数据死算的话是way over valued ,但其实不是,

aloevera

2025-12-15 12:25:17

谢指导。嗯,这个股票我是暂时没有,因为觉得他监管过不了。就像我以前买的AUR,一开始也是无人驾驶上路测试了一阵,结果

bogbog

2025-12-15 12:28:13

监监不是问题,最大的问题是media, 如果特斯拉有一丁点小事,那不得了

aloevera

2025-12-15 12:32:29

为啥那么有信心他会过?是trump put吗?media的问题说的对。如果出了事故肯定会被无限放大。所以还是有很大不确定

三心三意

2025-12-15 12:45:39

Who else has better chance? LOL

bogbog

2025-12-15 12:49:40

+1

aloevera

2025-12-15 12:59:59

我开了一个新贴,你们去看看。可以在那里讨论。

三心三意

2025-12-15 11:48:12

TSLA also true, but i have way too many already

Harp

2025-12-15 11:52:07

Googl 你会什么价位买进?

bogbog

2025-12-15 12:09:49

在20均线和50均线之间都还行?您请教一下三心。 我就看图乱猜

btcgo2026

2025-12-15 11:43:27

不是很理解你的策略 不是应该卖个这周末到期的 但是premium太低

三心三意

2025-12-15 11:46:58

? Have no idea what you are asking

btcgo2026

2025-12-15 11:53:00

you sold avgo Jan 16 expire put with strike price 350

btcgo2026

2025-12-15 11:54:15

是要卖高于当前价格的put吗

Harp

2025-12-15 11:54:49

猜他是想问你 卖put买进AVGO 为什么选到期日1/16而不是这周末,1/16可能价格就反弹回去,你就买不着了?

btcgo2026

2025-12-15 11:56:07

exactly

pega

2025-12-15 12:10:53

AVGO can drop to 300-310 this week

bogbog

2025-12-15 12:13:25

所以我楼下说应该是not quite yet

btcgo2026

2025-12-15 12:16:23

grok这么说的,不知道对不对

三心三意

2025-12-15 12:21:18

Because I also have a pretty large premium sold at 400 cc

三心三意

2025-12-15 12:24:22

AVGO has "very" low probability of going 390+ in short term

btcgo2026

2025-12-15 12:31:51

grok response, anything missed 谢谢

三心三意

2025-12-15 12:41:43

400 cc was sold roughly for $30, 350 put sold for $18

btcgo2026

2025-12-15 12:45:25

7.5% 这相当的高

三心三意

2025-12-15 12:49:10

Because IV was going through roof before earning

btcgo2026

2025-12-15 12:35:23

我还没有任何仓位 看来是瞎跟着卖put了 不过买到也挺好的

btcgo2026

2025-12-15 12:36:12

如果能买到 买不到赚premium小钱

aw205

2025-12-15 15:41:43

same expiration, covered strangle, $350 -$400 就上下两头吃

NewLeaf2021

2025-12-15 14:42:10

三心老师看过来 ;)

olive2025

2025-12-15 12:03:20

时间有限,只能做几只股票,偶尔波段大盘。如果只做三只股票,选哪些?

三心三意

2025-12-15 10:57:56

等这个坛子大喊“XYZ 又涨了50点”的时候, 那只是高兴,但不是买股的时机:)

晓炎

2025-12-15 10:59:48

+1

三心三意

2025-12-15 11:00:54

我在耐心的等NFLX:)

晓炎

2025-12-15 11:03:40

me too, have 3 more "stacks of $" waiting along the way lol

Harp

2025-12-15 11:56:50

买的时候一定要大喊一声,就等着跟你买了

bogbog

2025-12-15 12:41:27

我认为88-90就差不多已经是底, 70多到的概率低

dancingpig

2025-12-15 11:07:01

请问三心,为什么是6700这个点?多谢

三心三意

2025-12-15 11:15:41

Just a pure guess, it is a junction of multiple TAs

dancingpig

2025-12-15 11:43:11

多谢!

bogbog

2025-12-15 11:41:42

如果站不住681, 下一站就是670。 今天SPY其实还hold well at 681附近,没有flush down

天气晚来秋

2025-12-15 17:46:00

以后自动驾驶功能标配,一龙没法卖高价