最新消息：特朗普在18至44岁人群中的支持率降至历史最低的27%，自8月以来净变化惊人地下降了44个百分点。

Trump approval (ages 18-44 only) Approve: 27% Disapprove: 72%

—— Net Approval Aug 2025: (-2) Feb 2026: (-45)

| 2/12-13

最新的全国可能投票者调查显示特朗普处于下风，民主党人在选票上占据明显优势，双方竞争激烈。

Latest national likely voter survey shows Trump underwater, Democrats with a measurable ballot edge, and intensity high on both sides.

总统职位批准反对：56%赞成：43%不确定：1% ––––––––––––––––––––––––––

通用国会选票（含倾向者）民主党：48%共和党：42%未决定 / 其他：10% ––––––––––––––––––––––––––

参议院控制优先权（2026年）民主党：50%共和党：43%分裂/不确定：7% ––––––––––––––––––––––––––

期中热情强有力的民主党人 ——极度：66% ——非常：11%强大的共和党人 ——极其多数：54% ——非常：20%摇摆选民 ——极其极端：59% ——非常：14%

民主党在最高级别（“极度”）的强度上领先。共和党整体上仍然高度参与，但表现落后。

Latest national likely voter survey shows Trump underwater, Democrats with a measurable ballot edge, and intensity high on both sides. Presidential Job Approval Disapprove: 56% Approve: 43% Unsure: 1% –––––––––––––––––––––––––– Generic Congressional Ballot (with leaners) Democrat: 48% Republican: 42% Undecided / Other: 10% –––––––––––––––––––––––––– Senate Control Preference (2026) Democrat: 50% Republican: 43% Divided / Not Sure: 7% –––––––––––––––––––––––––– Midterm Enthusiasm Strong Democrats ––Extremely: 66% ––Very: 11% Strong Republicans ––Extremely: 54% ––Very: 20% Swing Voters ––Extremely: 59% ––Very: 14% Democrats lead in top-tier (“extremely”) intensity. Republicans remain highly engaged overall but lagging.