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有人说Strait of Hormuz开不开不关美国的事,听听这位退休的将军怎么说

MoonlightBee 2026-03-29 12:39:54 ( reads)

不仅要开,还把这项任务作为这次军事行动是否成功的一个重要指标。

MARGARET BRENNAN: Well, the President has made clear that he needs to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. His language has been contradictory on some of these points as to who's going to do it and when. What's the military reality of making it passable?

GEN. FRANK MCKENZIE: We're on our way to doing that now, Margaret. This is part of a plan that's been in existence for many years. What we're doing right now is we're reducing Iranian ability to target ships in the strait through their short range missiles, their drones and other activities. We do that by maintaining air superiority over southern Iran on a 24/7 basis, looking for where these missiles are and striking them relentlessly. Once we reduce those to a very low level, then you'll be able to go in, if necessary, sweep for mines. 

MARGARET BRENNAN: But can he achieve his goals without ground troops, which is what the Secretary of State says. And how does this end? How do you call this a success?

GEN. FRANK MCKENZIE: Sure, I think a success looks like the Strait of Hormuz is open. We get some kind of deal on the ballistic missile program, some kind of deal on the nuclear program. That's probably about as much as you could hope for. But I think they're very discreet things that, for me, at least from an operational military perspective, would be, would look like victory. I believe all of those things are actually within our grasp. We just need to continue. Iran will ultimately respond to the use of force. They know and understand it, perhaps better than we have, we have in the past. This administration is willing to use force. Other administrations have been thoroughly .....

另一位接受参访的是位伊朗作家,他认为现在的伊朗政权坚不可摧,美国的目的很难达到。谈判可能达成共识的可能还遥不可及。

MARGARET BRENNAN: Explain that, if you would, because what we hear from the White House and from Israel is that pressure will break them. You're saying they're unbreakable?

KARIM SADJADPOUR: At the moment, and this could change in the future, but we haven't seen any cracks in the regime's resolve. We haven't seen any cracks, cracks in the cohesion of its security forces, and given the fact that so many of its top officials, including the Supreme Leader, have been killed, it's a regime which is not prepared to compromise or change its ideology. They actually believe that antipathy towards America is part of their identity, and if you capitulate on that, it actually doesn't prolong your shelf life, it actually could hasten your death.

跟帖(34)

cn_abcd

2026-03-29 12:52:49

登陆夺岛,让世界看看美国有没有这个能力

MoonlightBee

2026-03-29 13:18:41

根据这位将军的说法,美军已经演练了多少年了,是raid而非长期占领,我相信能占,占多久是个问题。

cn_abcd

2026-03-29 13:35:45

1分钟,一个小时,一天,一个月?

randd2000

2026-03-29 12:54:06

发动战争前海峡是开的,属于自残

Uusequery

2026-03-29 12:55:21

以后就没法再关了,这就是差别。

randd2000

2026-03-29 12:58:23

没人能保证以后,打阿富汗的时候会想到以后会狼狈逃出来吗

Uusequery

2026-03-29 13:06:08

不常住就不会有相同的结果。打残了就继续看着不让其恢复就行了。

randd2000

2026-03-29 13:33:32

胡扯吧,美军一不在,海峡肯定又封上了,可以考虑派尼去看着

Uusequery

2026-03-29 13:46:49

切,军队打残了,导弹没了,拿什么封?

randd2000

2026-03-29 14:57:49

完全军盲,那地方单兵肩扛导弹就可以封,尼能把伊朗所有的单兵全消灭了?

天青水蓝

2026-03-29 20:42:01

水雷比导弹更难对付,没清扫完之前谁也别走了,清扫要几周而且对方还可以很快再次布雷

Bob007

2026-03-29 13:45:23

打阿富汗就是去反恐杀本拉登的,没有一个美国人要一直呆在阿富汗

天青水蓝

2026-03-29 20:48:08

美军击毙本拉登是2011年,撤出阿富汗是2021年。

Uusequery

2026-03-29 12:54:37

这位将军说的很清楚了,似乎没什么疑问

randd2000

2026-03-29 12:59:40

说得很不清楚,问他是否需要地面部队都不回答

Uusequery

2026-03-29 13:02:53

不在其位,不谋其政

MoonlightBee

2026-03-29 13:22:46

说的很清楚就是美军会负责重新让海峡开通。

5678910

2026-03-29 13:04:03

反正打下去两败俱伤,封了石油岛伊朗经济崩溃,封了海峡美国物价高企

MoonlightBee

2026-03-29 13:25:48

所以要控制它的石油命门,重新开通海峡。做了就做到底,不仁不义就害了周围国家。

BBL123

2026-03-29 13:09:44

美国可以拿下可以打通,但是为什么要美国? 美国又不用那个海峡? 川普说了多次。 谁用谁去管那个海峡。

MoonlightBee

2026-03-29 13:19:30

美国不去打伊朗,伊朗不会关闭海峡。

BBL123

2026-03-29 13:27:08

美国打伊朗和关闭海峡是两回事,伊朗47年前就和美国开战了,而且美国只是轰炸伊朗核能力和导弹能力,轰炸后完成目标会撤的

MoonlightBee

2026-03-29 13:30:13

在解决一个问题的时候,会制造另一个问题,这是衍生的问题就是同一个问题。而且海峡关闭美国油价高涨,中期必死。

BBL123

2026-03-29 13:32:53

高油价好过伊朗有了核武器和长程飞弹,美国历来中期选举执政党大多数都会输的

MoonlightBee

2026-03-29 13:36:39

选民就看affordibility,两院皆输,川普光杆儿, 2028会输更惨。

MoonlightBee

2026-03-29 13:32:46

当然如果你能把伊朗攻击油船的能力彻底消灭,那也是解决了海峡关闭的问题。一样,必须让海峡开通。

MoonlightBee

2026-03-29 13:10:04

是这位将军没有正面回答是否会使用ground troops,他的回答比较战略性,哈哈,也许军机不可泄露?听听这段

Dotline

2026-03-29 13:12:19

将军一家之言,海峡关闭更是美国筹码,相信川总不会放过这个机会

MoonlightBee

2026-03-29 13:14:42

这个筹码的作用是什么?什么机会?

BBL123

2026-03-29 13:23:36

没错从测面突出了川普轰炸伊朗的必要性

MoonlightBee

2026-03-29 13:27:19

行,大家都看到了这个必要性,然后呢?挑起了事端拍屁股走人?

BBL123

2026-03-29 13:31:04

什么叫挑起事端? 47年前是伊朗先和美国开战的。 60%的浓缩核铀,4千公里导弹足够说明炸伊朗的必要性

MoonlightBee

2026-03-29 13:33:43

炸就炸彻底,要是他还能炸油船关闭海峡,说明你得接着炸!懂吗?

天青水蓝

2026-03-29 22:29:36

炸越南炸了多久?炸阿富汗又炸了多久?