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台积电TSM有意思,它每月定期发布上个月的营销业绩。这几天公布元月同比上涨36.8%。它不飞涨,稳稳的每年35%左右,

桃花源里人家 2026-02-10 07:39:46 ( reads)

所以等到正式公布季度报告的时候,市场实际上没有太多的惊奇,因为业绩“总是”30+多左右。所以业绩公布后很少暴涨,因为此前已经逐步消化,慢慢上涨够了。

这个方法其实很好,除非大的政治经济消息带动了大市浮动,它本身很少有因为经营消息带来的巨大波动。只不过,这样的话,股票好像比较boring。但是如果有个股票每年稳步成长35%左右,还需要惊喜或者暴涨吗?

Is It Too Late To Consider Taiwan Semiconductor (NYSE:TSM) After Strong AI-Driven Rally?

If you have been wondering whether Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is still worth buying at current levels, this article is going to walk through what the current share price might be implying about its value. 

The stock recently closed at US$341.36, with returns of 2.6% over the last 7 days, 6.8% over the last 30 days, 6.8% year to date, 72.6% over 1 year, 285.6% over 3 years and 175.0% over 5 years, which has put valuation questions firmly on the table. 

Recent news coverage has continued to highlight Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing as a central player in global chip supply, with ongoing attention on its role in advanced computing and AI related demand. This context has kept investors focused on how its current share price lines up with expectations around long term contract visibility, capital spending and industry positioning. 

On Simply Wall St's valuation checks, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing scores 3 out of 6, which means it screens as undervalued on half of the metrics used. Next we will look at how approaches like discounted cash flow, earnings multiples and peer comparisons frame that score, and

跟帖(13)

桃花源里人家

2026-02-10 07:40:54

它的CEO宣布的计划和投资规模,就是按照三年左右翻一倍的产能计划的。

hhtt

2026-02-10 07:46:05

稳扎稳打!现在它家是芯片制造加工的老大。如果给三星制造,它们有没有这个能力?

桃花源里人家

2026-02-10 07:50:11

按照目前的模式三星不行。三星自己有和所有客户竞争的产品。有利益冲突,目前一个例外是英伟达。

hhtt

2026-02-10 07:53:18

桃兄,你是说如果把芯片给英特尔制造加工,它们可以造出和台积电一样质量的产品?

桃花源里人家

2026-02-10 07:58:34

目前英特尔的18A制程,对应台积电2纳米制程,而且有自己的独特技术特点。问题是它目前良率估计50%左右,需提高,否则

桃花源里人家

2026-02-10 08:06:27

良率50%好像是个台阶。三星最近宣布它们的HBM4的良率过了50%了,所以得到NVDA订单,因为HBM4需求极高,不知道

BigMountain6

2026-02-10 07:47:22

设想一下:如果台海统一,TSM将如何在党的领导下发展?

桃花源里人家

2026-02-10 07:51:04

现在已经是中国企业了。你看看国内所有新闻,都是”中国台湾台积电“。新闻报道我国市值最大企业,总是说是台积电

LvNordstrom2

2026-02-10 12:14:53

这么搞笑的吗。哈哈

hhtt

2026-02-10 07:51:14

先派大山同志赴台筹建中国共产党台积电党委会并任党委书记,第一个发展目标是台积电的董事长,然后是CEO,务必发展成党员!

BigMountain6

2026-02-10 08:23:34

出家人不打诳语:企业成立党委是中国大陆的法律要求,华为高官曾在美国会作证时说,在中国的规模企业,不管国企民企外企,必须~

BigMountain6

2026-02-10 08:32:22

华为官员作证企业党委的片段找到了:

华灜

2026-02-10 07:51:30

慢牛 - 最牛~~~