Hillary泪眼注视民主党总统角逐者Barack
LevelII (2008-02-07 12:21:58) 评论 (58)还是在元月初的时候,奥巴马在爱和华州首战得胜,其势头之猛差点要粉碎她的总统梦。在这种危急状态下,她一改原先的竞选方法及策略,并力图重整竞选团队,再加上她本人含泪诉说的免费广告,让她在NH扳回一局,为自己的总统梦注入了极其幸运而难得的活力。不难设想,如果没有那次的胜利,她也许也象前纽约市长一样被淘汰了。
可是,祸福相依。她在NH的取胜,使她“终止”了要重整竞选团队的举措,以致于她的竞选又落入了让她在爱州败北的陷阱:她和选民之间隔阂依旧。这一点现在很明显地体现在竞选经费的筹措上:奥巴马一月从大量新人身上筹得32M,但她却得用自己的财力为竞选注入5M,竞选干部也放弃薪酬而工作。奥巴马和她的差别不是很大吗?!
造成这种局面的根本原因在于她和普通选民的距离太大:从去年11月份到现在,我只收到她的团队对竞选建议的一封千篇一律的回复;但是,奥巴马阵营以各人名义给我寄了五六十封电子信。如果以此为标准来让我投票的话,我的票会投给谁不是很明显吗?
除了不能和选民加强联系外,她的竞选团队的能力不足也让人瞠目结舌。奥巴马打击她的致命武器之一是:她虽然有经验,但判断力不行;没有正确的判断力,经验就不值一提了,就象有经验的副总统气你和前国防部长拉什么没有让美国取得伊战的胜利一样。
奥巴马使用这一利器的根据只有一个:他从一开始就反对伊战。对此,喜拉瑞的阵营就不能以其人之道还治其人之身吗?
时移势异。伊战现在已经不是美国选民最关心的问题了,取而代之的是让人愁苦的美国经济。早在去年问题还远不明显的时候,喜拉瑞就呼吁采取措施来避免今天的糟糕局面。事实证明及现在政府的措施都证明,她当时对经济的观察和解决方法都是对的。这不是她有良好判断力的力证吗?在今天,不是更让人接受吗?但她本人和竞选团队却意识不到这一点。
还让她前途暗淡的一个重要因素是她又在用使她爱州蒙羞的策略而不自知:对于看似没有胜利“绝对把握”的选战就别用心打,把精力放在重要的大州上。这听起来很合理,但实际上现在却行不通了。她在爱州的结果及其后的影响就是一例;共和党人前市长朱什么的也是一例。在这种情况下,她怎么还可以漠然对待2月将要举行的几个州的竞选呢?
现在,她的竞选财力当然已经比不上奥巴马了。但是,竞选并不是一定得花钱如流水。象共和党的那个老麦,虽然曾经破产,但他还是坚持和选民直接对话。老麦能做,她怎么就不能做?她不能飞到华盛顿州天天和选民面对面竞选吗?华盛顿的当权者大都支持她,她努力在这里取胜,就是让她的总统梦得以继续的最好措施。
从这两天的情况看,她还是依重过去让她失败的那些人,采用让她失败的策略,她和那些人又不利用让奥巴马致命利器失效的反击。如果这些不改变的话,到8月民主党聚集丹佛挑选总统侯选人的时候,她只能双眼朦胧地注视台上的奥巴马了。
(小脚板,虽然我们都喜欢喜来瑞成为民主党总统侯选人。但形势不由人,也许该到此为止了。)
评论 (58)
QQ, wish you a nice week as well. See you Saturday.
新一周好大漠! 保重!
Have a nice weekend, QQ!
回复LevelII的评论:
难为大漠了:) 来得匆匆, 许多事写一起去了:) 因为想一起去了. 你好吗? 忙吗? 你很会猜的:) 问候两声, 周末快乐!
I think I understand what you like to say although I have to guess part of it. Anyway, wish you a nice week, QQ!
:) Thank you Damo, a new week has begun a gain. Have you been busy, because if you have the time goes by even faster. I know some one wrote to Hilary, but probably got the same kind of standard reply....All in a sudden i realized that when you live in US the root switched and you become more and more concern on what's going on. i will chat you more later.
Have a good one.
QQ周末快乐!
回复LevelII的评论:
谢谢大漠指点鼓励,你总是很达观的。最近忙吗,天气开始暖和些了吧。谢谢你去看我。有可能的话留几句话吧。我那小说快写完了,又是一个旅程碑。以后要考虑做什么了。
哪里会有一轮啦。那天还提红小兵呢。哎,我们都年幼过,赤着脚野过。现在照镜子,咳,不想看了。
回头再来聊吧。多保重大漠。周末快乐!
Good morning, QQ.
孩子长大,对他们和大人都是好事儿。就大人而言,照看他们的事儿少了,时间多了,又能想和做其它自己想做的事儿了,可说明再生。为什么要惆怅呢?
还有,在我这儿别提older,你可能要小一轮儿,应该正是精力充沛的时候。有可能就做些让身边人目瞪口呆的事吧。
愿你在这新的一周天天开心!
回复LevelII的评论:
not sure about that :) thank you Damo! 又是新一周了, 想起了一首歌: children get older time gets older and i am gettig older too...
Enjoy a brand new week Damo!
Thank you very much for your greeting. Sorry to hear you feel bad on this day. You know, on this day, many people care about you. Sweet dream...
i feel bad for..
Greetings Damo! :)
这是比较切实的竞选做法之一。
=================
Play: Clinton knocks on Texas doors 38 minutes ago
SAN ANTONIO, Texas - Thirty-six years ago, Hillary Rodham Clinton knocked on doors through southern Texas registering voters for the Democratic Party. It was her first job in politics.
Now she's after the top job in politics and the door knocking Wednesday was distinctly different.
Clinton went looking for support on the 1900 block of West Mistletoe Street. The working class neighborhood had little notice. Suddenly Secret Service agents and her media entourage descended on tight lawns and flower beds.
Women greeted her with trembling hands. She praised an Iraq war veteran. She petted prize-winning beagles. And she posed for pictures, and more pictures.
"For us, her husband was a great president. That's why we're going to support her. She's for the working poor," said Maria Huerta, speaking in her native Spanish.
Added her husband, Frank Huerta: "You know women — when they say something is going to happen, it's going to happen."
The Huertas were the first on the block to greet Clinton, before word spread and neighbors and reporters pressed in around her.
She took a picture with Julian Manchaca, a 41-year-old Army sergeant who said he was preparing for his fifth deployment to Iraq before a back injury set him back. She thanked him for his service.
Manchaca and Clinton aren't necessarily on the same page on Iraq. Clinton wants to begin pulling troops out of Iraq 60 days into her administration. Manchaca disagrees. "We've got to do what we've got to do. I think we have to go and finish it."
But he plans to vote for her, nonetheless. "She's best qualified to do the job," he said. "She's a very strong woman."
她的助理竞选总管也走了。他对爱州的竞选策略有相当的责任。另外,还有得负责的。
现在就看她新任命的竞选总管是不是一员干将,能不能在三个星期内扭转局面,让她在德州和俄州取胜了。
QQ,早安!
换个总管还不够。再说,即使现在大换血,是不是能找到合适的人也不能立即看出来。
换了经理了? 希望能有帮助了, 刚还看到一则新闻, 说是奥巴马提退选条件, 不知道是不是误传...
新春快乐大漠, 早早来问候, 给压到最底下去了...
又回去读你的年度总结文章, 不得不令人感慨无限...
新一周好~
各位周末好。
Hillary Rodham Clinton just replaced campaign manager Patti Solis Doyle, naming longtime aide Maggie Williams to the top job.
这是个该换的,但还有该换的,至少那个Mark得换。
回复Lianxin的评论:
从对中国和中国人的态度的角度, 共和党才是正确的选择.
看看最近二十年的美国政治, 尽管民主党对中国人许诺连连, 有哪位中国人出任要职? 别说中国人, 就是少数族衣也根本没有被重视.保证看看 BILL CLINTON 时期的内阁组成, 除去两个黑人出任没有人理会的部长外, 只有 MINETA 出任了一年多的商务部长, 其余清一色白人. 反观共和党, 黑人出任历史上首位少数族衣国务卿, 古巴移民出任商务部长, 中国移民出任劳工部长, 墨西哥衣出任司法部长, MINETA 出任交通部长, 全部是要害或准要害部门头领. 少数族衣的能力得到真正的肯定, 极大的提高了在社会的地位.
原因很简单, 共和党更看重的个人奋斗和能力. 有个故事: 华人政治组织 80/20 (又称长老会) 在 GORE 竞选时, 获其许诺提拔一华人出任内阁部长, 而 BUSH 却一口拒绝任何与族衣有关的承诺. 因而长老会决定支持下 GORE. 实际上, 赵小兰已出任劳工部长多年.
对我们华人来说, 我们是一个处于绝对劣势的民族, 但是我们勤奋, 聪明, 守法. 只有对勤奋, 聪明和守法的肯定, 才是我们有立锥之地的保证. 如果我们支持针对族衣的交易, 我们同时也是在变相支持其他族衣对我们的报复. 要知道, 在美国, 最仇视华人的, 就是很多华人鼎立支持的其他少数族衣. DEOS THAT MEAN SOMETHING?
回复meiguo的评论:
别人怎么有你的电邮呢?
Very good points!
冥冥之中必有定数,又何必烦恼?
应该支持喜拉莉
I donate $ 1000 to Hillary. She is THE ONE can bring the country to the right track. She understand China and Chinese people. She did not trash China this time, and Obama did. She is THE ONE can bring real change , NOT Obama! Nice talk can not change anything.
很有点意思. 一班外国人(美国以外的人)在期盼着一个能拯救世界的美国总统.
美国人可是在选美国总统啊, 外国人瞎掺和个什么劲呢. 要知道, 很多在 OBAMA 和 CLINTON 作出选择的人, 连北京是哪个国家的都不知道的啊. 在总统选举上, 美国人向来是只以国内为重的. 至于伊战, 也必须和国内问题连起来才行.
绝大部分中国来北美的留学生支持民主党, 实在是因为路线太一致了. 美国的民主党, 也包括世界上的自由派, 扛的是穷苦大众的旗帜, 走的却都是精英路线. 看看历史, 几乎所有在人类近代史上留下惨重一页的, 都是自由派的, 包括 MAO, 撕, 系特乐, 暮缩里泥.... 等等, 不胜枚举. 打的都是要彻底解决人类问题的旗帜, 带给人民的是.... 就不多说了.
可惜, 美国在世界上的发达国家中, 是最保守的. 最能激起老百姓兴趣的, 是草根路线. OBAMA 今次能有此成绩, 就在于他起于青萍之末, 走的是草根路线. 而共和党则更加的草根. 在广大的郊区和农村, 共和党有着绝对的吸引力. 很有意思的是, 相当一部分人认为共和党是为大公司服务的. 这实在是给广大人民的判断力的一记耳关. 关于这个问题, 我以后可以再谈.
至于战争, 如果你们去看看历史, 就知道, 民主党要好战得多. 美国的近代历史上, 一次世界大战, 二次世界大战, 朝鲜战争, 越南战争... 都是由民主党人发动和深化. 朝鲜战争和越南战争则是由共和党人拍板停止的.
再看美国和中国的关系. 民主党人时期, 美国与中国连年战争, 用武力阻挠中国统一. 而共和党人时期, 中美和好, 更有老布十顶住压力与中国维持友好. 看今天, 美国政客中, 最反中国的, 就是一小戳民主党人. 着实在是路线使然. 民主党意识形态挂帅, 而共和党则是草根为重. 草根者, 为蝇头小利而奔忙之百姓也.
别怪我打击你们的积极性, 这选举实在是美国人的事, 外国人别瞎操心. 要不然, 被选出来岂不是有里通外国, 卖国求荣之嫌疑?! 有那个劲, 想想自己能填的选票.
小脚板,也祝你和全家人在新的一年平安健康!吉祥如意!
对于美国总统选举,象你说的那样,我们可以换个思维来看可能会有新的想法。至于世界需要什么样的美国总统来做世界的伙伴,那不是美国人关心的。比如说,C和O都说要怎么让美国重新领导世界。和其它人在国际政治上平等相处?这样的思想不知道什么时候才能在美国人中流行。
其实,你对事情的观察是很有深度的。期待你的大作!
周末快乐!
大漠新年好!祝你及全家新的一年平安健康快乐!
很高兴你能讲出你所研究的;我也在关注。
好事有时是坏事,这就象你的说的希拉里;但选举这条路好象也象单行线似的,歪了就没正路了。
现在两人各有利弊,表现手法也不同,到最后可能连选民都会吃惊的:怎么选出不是自己想选的人选。
还有,现在好象是民主党两人士选总统,共和党是不是会鹬蚌相争,渔人得利?
有时我也会想:美国人想着要什么样的总统,但也可换个思维想想:全世界需要什么样的美国总统,即全世界的合作伙伴。有时觉得很危险。
看来什么都有可能了。
希望大漠再给我们好文。网上高人很多,大家就事论事可能更好些。
希拉里希望多一些Debates, 很好的主意。 而奥巴马不同意。是不是耽心什么?
这很明显:害怕自己露馅。他就会空喊口号,一触及实际问题,就张口结舌。
Landlord: Clinton staff stiffed me on rent
http://www.seacoastonline.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080208/NEWS/802080448
PORTSMOUTH — Rochester physician Terry Bennett said he rented a city building to people who worked for Sen. Hillary Clinton's presidential campaign — and skipped town without paying the bill.
Making matters worse, Bennett said, the 3,000-square-foot building at 236 Union St. was left trashed. Campaign signs were left lying all over the place, he said.
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Landlord: Clinton staff stiffed me on rent
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CLINTON PHOTOS
Photo galleries of Hillary Clinton's visits to the Seacoast, N.H. area:
Winnacunnet High School
Hampton, Jan. 2008
Campaign office hostage situation
Rochester, Nov. 2007
Market Square rally
Portsmouth, Sep. 2007
Health care forum
Portsmouth, Jul. 2007
Seacoast area
May 2007
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"It's a very nice little building, with an 1,800-foot warehouse and the rest can be offices," Bennett said. "There's a full kitchen and bath. They used it as a campaign center and dormitory. I expected them to hand the Realtor a check as they left. They did not."
Bennett said he wanted to be fair. The tenants contacted him and said they wanted the building for five days before the New Hampshire primary, which was held Jan. 8.
Realtor Michael Whitney said arrangements for the rental were made by Emily Walsh, who, Whitney said, corresponded with him from a Clinton campaign e-mail address. A New Hampshire woman named Emily Walsh has a blog written on Clinton's campaign Web site. She is listed on the Web site as a resident of Manchester. An Emily Walsh from Manchester has also been named a 1st Congressional District delegate for the Democratic National Convention to be held in Denver, Colo.
Calls and e-mails from the Herald to Kathleen Strand, Clinton's New Hampshire spokeswoman, were not immediately returned. E-mails and attempts to reach Walsh by phone, as well as calls to a woman who picked up the keys from Whitney, were not returned.
The Herald also made a call to Clinton's national campaign headquarters in Arlington, Va. A woman reached in the press office said she would try to get someone who could respond, but there was no response.
Neither Bennett nor Whitney knew how many people actually stayed in the building. The rent charged was $100 a day, for a total of $500.
Whitney, with the firm of Keller Williams Coastal Realty, confirmed the building was not left in good condition.
"We had to pick up after them," he said.
Whitney said he has been trying to collect rent for four weeks.
"I sent about 20 e-mails," said Whitney. "I hear the Clinton campaign is out of money. Maybe the woman got laid off. I called, but they will not return any of my calls."
This week, national news reports said Hillary Clinton loaned her campaign $5 million of her personal fortune. Bennett said he finds it hard to believe she can't afford $500.
When the group did not give him a check for the amount up front, as per the agreement, Whitney said, he gave them the benefit of the doubt.
"But they packed up and left," he said.
"They left enough trash for a small army," said Bennett. "We filled two of those big black trash bags with what they left. There might still be a 4x8 Hillary sign there we pulled off the fence."
Bennett said he bought the building about five or six years ago.
It's the former location of Pro Portsmouth.
写得很好。建议作者将关键之处译成英文,发给那个有点迂腐的希拉里团队。我想,对他们会有大启发。看着真着急。
奥巴马说过,
要向日本人学习,学习他们有效对付中国人/政府的经验。
彻底禁止从中国进口(有毒)玩具等等. 这些口号如果不是哗众取宠, (讨好广大中西部失去国际竞争力的失业工人), 那又能代表什么呢?
所以奥巴马能够赢一长串经济欠发达,观念保守的洲. (或者黑人占大多数)
难道我们不应该为南方的血汗工厂里的兄弟姐妹们争得一点应该有的尊严吗?
Agree with Smart518 and Gmajia
Obama said in one of his public speech:
We will learn how to deal with the Chinese from Japan. (He is mentioning the trade in-balance, but his also blaming China for unsafe toy exports)
If you are voting for Obama, are you willing to be treated by the nation of Japan?
QQ, have a good weekend!
My son (7 1/2 yrs) said he voted for Obama since he is "COOL". I got emails from his supporters said he is good listener and has good advisors. I can not vote for him based on these recommendations. I may choose McCain if Obama is nominated even though I am against the war.
I strongly support Hilary for whatever reason. Obama always say he will bring change, but never say what kind change he can bring. Change could be good, but also could be bad. Just say bring change mean nothing!
Those who oppose Obama are hopeless.
"The hope of immigrants setting out for distant shores......"
I agree with Lianggeren.
请支持Hilary的朋友,即使你没有投票权,去她的网站https://contribute.hillaryclinton.com/form.html?sc=2337,多少捐一点款,以示你的支持!
回复lianggeren的评论:
最重要的是号召力,个人魅力
李大师怎么样?
希拉里赢
奥巴马是个只会说好听话骗人的家伙,他如果执政,就肯定跟布什这种窝囊废一样,你们以后肯定会后悔死。希拉里不同,她是个有执行力而且不废话的人。为什么支持奥巴马的人有一部分年轻人,就是因为他们缺乏阅历不会看人。当年H1B那多的20000个adv名额就是克林顿政府加的。支持谁,自己想想吧。
She cryed just for the money she wasted
支持奥巴马,在美国选总统,经验不是最重要的。。。当年克林顿当选的时候,也就是奥巴马的年纪,经验一定比奥巴马强????最重要的是号召力,个人魅力,以美国牢固的政治体系,什么人当选都转。。。所以这个人的判断力非常重要,关系到如何转的问题。。。主要是喜欢奥巴马的自由派风格和草根意识。。。美国真的需要改变。。。沾沾自喜和飞扬跋扈会是让美国走进前所未有的低谷,就象现在这样。。。
Obama 's team are good. During the super W day, checked the ABC or Yahoo posting. Both were posted misleading voting percentages in every states. claiming O is winning by a 10% or more margin. And showing O had a ew mire registed delegate votes than C.
But the result on next morning were opposite.
O spent a lot of money hiring people to do the works in inernet poll or websites in communities.
回复smartcookie的评论:
完全同意你的观点。奥巴马只是个夸夸其谈的家伙。说的一针见血
明天我会投给Hilary.
如果有人向我送五十电邮, 我杀他的心都有了!!!!!!!!
希拉里希望多一些Debates, 很好的主意。 而奥巴马不同意。是不是耽心什么?
您就别献丑了。
等哪天从地铁,车里一出来,就有你的大哥要CHANGE,不给就拿枪出来,您就别流泪了。
不说别的,只讲事实;
喜莱莉的竞选团队也从那个黑心地产商那里拿了政治捐款,而且还是专为这次总统竞选而捐的,收款人是竞选团队的副领队,洛杉矶市长Antonio Villaraigosa
今年的总统选举--难啊
金日成有经验, 金正日经验>其他朝鲜人, 金正日儿子金正哲经验>其他朝鲜人. 可以预见金正日孙子还会比其他朝鲜人有经验
你这个说话怎么这么不负责任!谁说希拉里输了?希拉里的代表席位远比奥巴马多。奥巴马就算给你发了50封电子邮件也没用。他根本缺乏经验,不能和希拉里比。奥巴马只是个夸夸其谈的家伙,和黑心地产商勾结捞了不少好处,捡了栋豪宅,还撒谎说还了捐款,其实还有一大半的钱没有还。你被骗了,简直认贼做父!希拉里分析问题透彻,一针见血,坚强自信,而且非常实际!不象奥巴马只会编织梦想来自欺欺人。
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文学城是挺obama?!置顶都是挺Obama的。加州80%的Asian投给了Hilary。按比例置顶率该是4:1
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