PROFESSOR3

美国,财经界人士,某西方跨国媒体支付稿酬的客座财经评论员。
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告诉你股市进场3原则,严格遵守,可保“小赔或大赚”的结果。

(2009-03-26 07:40:33) 下一个
严格遵循俺多次提出的入场3原则,可保交易无忧:
1,每次只投入“可投资资产”的20%,绝不多投(初次入场者往往喜欢一次投入,图个痛快,但心理负担沉重,因此失败的几率最大);
2,一定要“逢低进场”,也就是当股价向下跌落超过一定百分比之后再买进。根据您要买进的股票的震荡幅度做出决定震荡幅度大的股票,甚至股价下跌20%就是最好买点,因为2-3个上升交易日就会让您暴赚。牛市中别怕向下的回调,越跌越买。耐心等待,不要追高。每笔投资赚钱之后才投入下一笔资金,牛市“逢低进场”,赚钱机会很大滴。万一第一次进场就被套,初学者可以选择长期等待,但前提是仓位不重。因为在此情况下手中“弹药”充足,心理负担轻,可以坚持。前面的投资如果严重赔钱,就考虑转向,因为你是“逢低进场”的。如果有较丰富投资经验,顶多做一次向下平均,但两次买价之间必须有较大差距,反弹至2笔投资都已不赔不赚时卖掉其中一半;
3,任何两笔投资都不要集中在一天完成,至少是在次日,最好过3-5个交易日。不看盘中价,因为盘中价格往往具有欺骗性,收盘价对趋势的可信性较高。牢记俺的“进场3原则”,您会成为一个股市投资的胜利者!
另外请你注意,尽管俺在前一段时间里,对大盘波段趋势(2月17日看跌,3月5日看涨)的判断惊人的准确,但俺对短线交易的判断,比对一波趋势的判断成功率要低很多。因为要想持续准确判断短线涨跌,几乎是不可能的事。
实际上还有另一个原因影响俺的超短线预测:因为每次俺说某个价格可以进场后,都有大批散户跟进,不断以ask(就是那个较高的“卖价”)买进,其结果是为庄家创造了出货的机会。所以俺曾一再呼吁,如果你要买进俺推荐的股票,务必只用“买价”Bid(即报价中那个较低的价格)等待买进,买不到拉倒。因为庄家的交易模式很一致,80%的情况下不会使用“卖价”直接买进。只有散户才用ask价直接买进。你用ask价买进,等于是送给庄家Easy Money,还会促使他们进一步向下砸盘,以便赚到更多的Easy Money。
俺对美股、特别是金融股的信心很强,仍看道指8000+,不会轻易变向。直到有收盘时的真正“长阴”出现,俺才会另做考虑。俺的信心也来自于进场价实在太低,所以赔钱的几率几乎不存在。你如直到$3+才进场,只要仓位轻,也就不会太紧张滴。初次进入股市的人,往往喜欢一次重仓投入,那是完全错误的。因为重仓会使您的判断很容易失误,股价稍有波动,您就会仓皇出逃,结果可能总是赔多赚少。您如目前仓位较重,则应考虑减仓,因为晚上睡个好觉是第一位重要的事啊。
今天很累,晚安!
祝你发财!
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PROFESSOR3 回复 悄悄话 回复flying_bird的评论:
俺看5月底前C上$5,FAS上$15!按照“进场3原则”,不急,心态就会很好,赚钱机会大大滴。祝您发财!
flying_bird 回复 悄悄话 绝对佩服!现在俺是空仓,请问还要不要进C和FAS?或者什么别的股票?多谢!
PROFESSOR3 回复 悄悄话 回复pptboy的评论:
check BAC's price now. good luck!
PROFESSOR3 回复 悄悄话 回复iamhereforfun的评论:
I made a call to "jump in" to China stocks on March 3, and call to buy C and BAC on March 5(Check the post history). What do u think, is it profitable call?
PROFESSOR3 回复 悄悄话 回复iamhereforfun的评论:
Go to DaqianGutan to c my post by checking post history. Everythings there u r asking. I don't need to answer u here cus post here is "back dated". The "post history" is a REAL RECORD of my trading and current holdings with time of the posts.
pptboy 回复 悄悄话 Will BAC drop back to $5 level?
pptboy 回复 悄悄话 Hi Professor,
do you think financial stocks have recovered from lowest bottom?
iamhereforfun 回复 悄悄话 回复PROFESSOR3的评论:
I think you are right that it is a bull market, but it is not the bottom yet. And your message of urging people to jump in is irresponsible and misleading.
iamhereforfun 回复 悄悄话 回复PROFESSOR3的评论:

Sometimes the longer you stay in the market the more foolish mistakes you make. Lehmann's CEO spent whole life in wall street, AIG CEO spent whole life in insurance business, eventually they were biggest losers.
iamhereforfun 回复 悄悄话 Actually I just want you to do one thing and it will be more interesting than posting any of your prediction, opinion, etc. Can you post a list of Finance or other stocks you are buying NOW and what prices you bought (don't tell us how many shares you buy) and we will see one or two years later if you win or lose. Fact is 1000 times more convincing than words. Right ?
iamhereforfun 回复 悄悄话 Thanks for your response. You don't need to further explan to me. I am not convinced and will not convinced by you
PROFESSOR3 回复 悄悄话 回复pinemouse的评论:
Follow my "3 Rules" for ur investment. U may average once if u r experienced investor. Just keep if u r not experienced, it'll give u return anyway, since it's still undervalued very much at price under $3.
Gooooood luck to u!
PROFESSOR3 回复 悄悄话 回复pptboy的评论:
Both will be OK. But best one would be C+FAS portfolio. BAC is one of best, either.
PROFESSOR3 回复 悄悄话 回复Lyra的评论:
No, it's not. In a big Bull Market, u'll have much more probability to win. Trust me, this is a big Bull Market. You never heard anybody tell u so condidently. Good luck!
PROFESSOR3 回复 悄悄话 回复iamhereforfun的评论:
Thanks for an answer. You should live in US Stock Market for more than 10 years for understanding my point. I experienced all big events in this market and I believe my prediction would be very smart one.
Anyway, I'll make another post later to explain u why I think everything will be OK in US.
iamhereforfun 回复 悄悄话 Don't understand why you are confident on finance stocks. I was confident on them too but many of them went bankrupt and many became penny stocks. For example, Leahman, Fannie Mae, Freddie, WAMU, don't think $3 is a good cheap price, some of them can go to zero finally.
Lyra 回复 悄悄话 The best way for "small loss or big gain" is playing lottery :)
pptboy 回复 悄悄话 what is your view on AIG and Fannie Mae?
pinemouse 回复 悄悄话 Thank you professor for the advise! I bought some C today.
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